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China Nears RTX Pro 5500 Approvals

Show Notes
NVIDIA is fielding orders in the millions for its latest GPUs as China signals a tentative reopening—but two forces are slowing things down: U.S. export controls and the brutal reality of power constraints. China’s top tech giants, including ByteDance and Alibaba, are lobbying for approval to buy the new RTX Pro 5500, with ByteDance alone eyeing around a million chips. At roughly $12,600 apiece and shipping 500,000 per quarter, this could reshape demand—but it’s not a silver bullet for AI ambitions. These cards are less powerful than banned accelerators, serving as a workaround for inference and small-scale training, and the U.S. can still pull the plug at any moment.
Here’s the catch: while NVIDIA’s revenue and customer commitments are jaw-dropping—$96 billion in a single quarter, hyperscalers like AWS and Microsoft reserving millions of GPUs and gigawatts of grid power—real-world deployment hits hard limits. Land, cooling, and especially electricity are bottlenecks. Even Microsoft’s massive buildouts hinge on the pace of grid upgrades and optical networking, with companies like Lumentum emerging as key suppliers.
Featuring insights from ThePrint, Dong-A Ilbo, InfotechLead, TechInsights, 24/7 Wall St., and Tom’s Hardware. The bottom line: whether China’s reopening sticks and whether the grid can keep up will decide who wins the next AI arms race.
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